Market Closes - August 19, 2019
Posted on Aug 19, 2019Corn Sep -6 365; Dec -6 374 (373-78)
Bean Sep -13 854; Nov -13 866 (864-78)
Meal -3 292
Oil -45 2868
Wheat Sep -5 465; Jly -5 490 (487-93)
KC -3 391; MGE -1 505
Oats -10 270
Rice -17 1103
CBOT futures closed lower and near the day’s lows for corn and soybeans; wheat finished midrange. Futures rallied from lower prices when the day session opened at 8:30 am, but soon returned to the trend lower. Corn and soybeans were pressured by weekend rains in the Midwest which may boost some yields. Today’s losses look bad but remember that these futures rallied strongly on Friday. Corn charted an “inside day”. Tonight’s crop condition ratings show only a percentage point decline for both corn and soybeans. ProFarmer is conducting its Midwest Crop Tour this week, which will provide another perspective on national yields.
Week ending August 18
U.S. Corn Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 56% 14%
Last Week 57% 13%
Last year 68% 12%
** 15% dented vs 30% average
U.S. Soybean Conditions
. Good/Excellent Poor/V.Poor
This Week 53% 14%
Last Week 54% 13%
Last year 65% 11%
** 68% setting pods vs 85% average
Winter Wheat Harvested
93% complete vs 98% average
U.S. Pasture and Range
54% good/excellent vs 40% year ago.
17% poor/v.poor vs 29% year ago.
LC Aug +27 10020; Oct +17 9822; Feb +5 10897
FC Aug +110 13567; Oct +32 13317; Jan -2 13090
LH Oct +202 6402; Dec +207 6285; Feb +170 6972
Milk Aug unch 1762; Sep -7 1778
US$ +.2% 98.36
Dow +250 26136
SP +35 2924
NAS +107 8003
Tran +114 10082
VIX -1.59 16.88
WTI +133 5614
Brent +110 5974
Gas +1 166
NG +1 221
HO +2 183
Eth -1 129
Gold -12 1500
Slvr -18 1694
2-yr +.071 1.549%
5-yr +.066 1.480%
10yr +.068 1.608%
30yr +.085 2.085%
Cattle futures closed mostly higher but near the day’s lows after a rally during the first hour failed to hold. Today’s strength was mostly technical in nature as last week’s sellers were covering and booking profits. Choice beef rose .44 to 239.13 and Select gained 1.26 to 214.52. CH/Sel spread is 24.61. Relatively strong boxed beef values and packer margins are limiting losses.
Lean Hog futures closed strongly higher and near the day’s highs. LH opened near steady but short-covering drove futures higher. FOB Plant Pork closed down 1.28 at 84.98 with ham value down over 5%. The morning quote was UP .38 on belly strength. Hog traders continue to look for signs of increased Chinese pork purchases and a US/China trade deal.
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