Market Closes - August 7, 2019
Posted on Aug 7, 2019Corn Sep +2 406; Dec +1 414 (409-15)
Bean Sep +1 854; Nov +1 867 (862-69)
Meal -2 295
Oil +45 2801
Wheat Sep +4 488; Jly +3 510 (501-11)
KC unch 418; MGE -1 521
Oats +3 269
Rice +3 1137
LC Aug +47 10760; Dec +27 1117; Feb +22 11532
FC Aug -42 13955; Oct +25 13890; Jan +25 13742
LH Aug +60 7772; Oct +225 6685; Dec +240 6342
Milk Aug -3 1754; Sep -6 1784
CBOT futures closed steady to slightly higher, but near the day’s highs. There was little new in the market today as traders prepare for Monday’s USDA crop reports. Otherwise, most fundamentals are hanging over the market. The next item on the radar is tomorrow’s weekly export sales report. The spec funds have sizable positions long corn and short soybean futures.
Cattle futures closed mostly higher except for nearby feeder cattle. The recent selloff in cattle may be ending with strength in boxed beef values. Choice beef gained .71 to 216.49 and Select edged up .06 to 192.71. Cash fed cattle trade is not established. Let’s hope for a strong weekly beef export sales report tomorrow.
Lean hog futures closed strongly higher beyond the nearby August LH. The rally was mostly technical in nature since LH futures have fallen sharply since the last high on July 24. Futures are at a discount to cash (CME Index = 84.19). FOB Plant Pork slipped .33 to 88.40. Belly value rose nearly 4% but hams lost nearly 5%. Although China needs to import pork amid rising prices, U.S. producers aren’t likely to get the business given the US/China tensions.
Financial markets had a volatile day but recovered much of its losses today. Treasury yields dropped sharply after a few nations lowered their key rates overnight. There remains much uncertainty about interest rates and the stock market. The VIX at 19.5 demonstrates this.
US$ +.1%
Dow -22 26007
SP +2 2884
NAS +30 7863
Tran -22 10150
VIX -.68 19.49
WTI -256 5103
Brent -271 5623
Gas -7 162
NG -3 208
HO -7 175
Eth -1 142
Gold +35 1507
Slvr +75 1720
2-yr -.014 1.597%
5-yr -.012 1.534%
10yr -.023 1.716%
30yr -.032 2.238%
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