Market Closes - August 9, 2018
Posted on Aug 9, 2018Corn Sep -2 369; Dec -2 383 (380-86)
Bean Sep -7 893; Nov -6 904 (902-14)
Meal -3 333
Oil -4 2855
Wheat Sep -5 564; Jly -5 604 (601-17)
KC -6 578; MGE -3 630
Oats -2 261
Rice +9 1074
LC Aug -157 10825; Dec -155 11297; Feb -70 11650
FC Aug -130 14935; Oct -77 14920; Jan -120 14865
LH Aug +17 5497; Oct +300 limit 5140; Dec +295 4732
Milk Aug +12 1498; Sep +28 1598
CBOT futures closed lower and well off the day’s highs as traders prepare for the USDA production and supply-demand reports being released at 11 am CDT tomorrow. The average trade guesses are:
Corn Yield: 176 bu/acre compared to 174.0 trendline.
Corn End Stocks: 1.636 billion vs 1.552 bil. last month.
Soybean Yield: 49.6 bu/acre.
Soybean End Stocks: 638 million vs 580 million in July.
Get results here: https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/crop0818.pdf
Also weighing on the market was a stronger US Dollar. On the chart, the Index is pushing up against chart resistance (the July and YTD high is 95.65). For reference, the highest level for the Index since 2002 was just shy of 104 in January 2017. The low was 70.7 in 2008.
Cattle futures closed moderately lower as the cash market dipped to $110/cwt today. Futures were also pressured by bear spreading with Lean Hog futures which soared today. Choice beef ended up .33 at 206.06 and Select dropped .77 to 198.09. The CH/SEL spread is 7.97/cwt.
Lean Hog futures opened lower but immediately started to rally. By mid-morning, LH futures had rallied over $3.00 to lock limit UP. LH was supported by a very strong pork cutout and the unwinding of the LC/LH spreads and by bullish technical signals created on the initial rally. FOB Plant Pork was up 2.14 at midday, but closed up .48 to 71.45.
US$ +.6% 95.59
Dow -75 25509
SP -4 2854
NAS +3 7892
Tran -34 11141
VIX +.36 11.21
WTI -13 6681
Brent -26 7202
Gas -2 200
NG +1 295
HO unch 211
Eth -2 137
Gold -1 1220
Slvr +3 1546
2-yr -.025 2.649%
5-yr -.032 2.806%
10yr -.038 2.928%
This is down .09 points from the recent high on August 1. The YTD high is 3.128% set in May.
30yr -.047 3.071%
Lexington Weekly Summary Aug 9, 2018
USDA-KY Dept Ag Market News
Receipts: 1409 Last Week: 1481 Year Ago: 1953
Compared to last week feeder steers and heifers mostly steady except 400-500 lbs 3.00 higher. Slaughter cows sold 1.00 to 2.00 lower and slaughter bulls steady with moderate demand.
Kentucky Farm Bureau Minute video - Click Here
KENTUCKY CASH GRAIN PRICES – Click Here
KENTUCKY LIVESTOCK AUCTIONS -- Click Here
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