Market Closes - January 16, 2018
Posted on Jan 16, 2018CBOT futures closed mixed with soybean meal leading the way higher. Soybeans and meal gapped higher Sunday evening at the open in follow-through buying after futures posted bullish key reversals on Friday following USDA reporting a lower average US soybean yield. The soy complex gained additional support from some dryness issues in Argentina and a record-large December crush for the U.S. A weaker US Dollar (at lows not seen since December 2014) proved supportive to soybeans and corn futures, but could not help the wheat market which saw follow-through selling from Friday’s bearish price action based on higher seeded wheat acres than expected. The speculative funds hold large short positions in corn, wheat and soybeans; this provides fuel for short-covering rallies. Old-crop soybean futures are less than a dime away from the next level of chart resistance at the January highs.
Cattle futures closed higher and near the day’s highs. However, cattle erased opening gains, only to rally in the final minutes back to the day’s highs. The buying appeared to be technical in nature and helped by the strong rally in Lean Hog futures. Fundamentals were negative as boxed beef values dropped over one percent. Choice carcasses down 2.45 at 205.58; Select down 2.15 at 199.89. LC futures have closed higher for three straight days.
Lean Hog futures closed strongly higher with the three percent gain in the nearby February LH contract. Today’s rally built on Friday’s rally which ended a sharp 2-day decline. The February LH contract moved to new contract highs. The weekly continuation LH contract has a gap open from $74 to $80. FOB Plant Pork dropped .38 to 80.71, compared to 81.45 at midday.
Corn Mar +2 348 (346-49); Jly +2 365; Dec +2 382
Bean Mar +7 968 (963-70); Jly +8 989; Nov +5 989
Meal +6 323
Oil -34 3279
Wheat Mar -4 416; Jly -3 444
KC -4 422; MGE -1 611
Oats unch 250
Rice +33 1214
LC Feb +72 11810; Apr +92 12037; Jun +72 11235
FC Jan +125 14560; Apr +107 14407; Aug +92 14667
LH Feb +232 7390; Apr +182 7615; Jun +122 8502
Milk Jan +1 1377; Feb +30 1337
US$ -.6%
Stocks reversed huge gains that had reached new record highs. Traders blamed it on the potential for a government shutdown if Friday’s funding deadline isn’t met.
Dow -10 25792
SP -10 2776
NAS -37 7224
Tran -146 11227
VIX +1.50 1.66
WTI -57 6373
Brent -94 6932
Gas -1 184
NG -7 313
HO -2 206
Eth unch 136
Gold +2 1337
Slvr +5 1719
2-yr +.016 2.018%
5-yr +.005 2.353%
10yr -.013 2.539%
30yr -.022 2.831%
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