Market Closes - January 26, 2021
Posted on Jan 26, 2021Corn Mar +21 532 (508-34); Jly +17 527; Dec +10 444
Bean Mar +27 1370 (1333-76); Jly +24 1352; Nov +18 1148
Meal Mar +7 436 (426-40)
Oil +97 4391
Wheat Mar +17 665; Jly +14 647 (626-48)
KC +14 641; MGE +12 638
Oats unch 355
Rice +7 1330
LC Feb +47 11700; Apr +15 12310; Jun +65 11947
FC Jan -90 13565; Apr -197 14427; Aug -192 15265
LH Feb -17 7045; Apr +32 7695; Jun +42 8792
Milk Feb -54 1542; Mar -51 1653
Grain and soy complex futures rose sharply for a second day in a row. A huge corn sale to China reported this morning by USDA supported the market. Once the follow-through buying got started, the rally was on its way on short-covering and technical buying. Overall fundamentals remain the same, but the market bulls are back in charge – for the moment anyway. Soybean futures closed today around the 50% retracement level, as did new-crop corn. Old-crop corn has recovered most of the January slide, remaining about a dime below the contract highs. Soybean futures are 50-70 cents below contract highs.
Live cattle futures closed slightly higher but feeder futures posted sizable losses due to the soaring corn market. LC futures have been supported by rising beef cutouts and optimism on the fed cattle market. While USDA didn’t report it, trade reports have Southern Plains cattle trading $112.50/cwt this afternoon, up from $110 last week. Choice beef gained 2.33 to 229.06 and Select rose 1.12 to 217.33. Live Cattle made new contract highs.
Beyond the February LH, lean hog futures closed slightly higher. February LH will continue to be pressured by its over $4.00 premium to the cash index. Otherwise, deferred LH are supported by optimism for Chinese pork demand. Yesterday’s Cold Storage Report showed December 31st frozen pork stocks remain historically low. Total pork was down 30% from year ago; belly stocks were down 54% year/year. FOB Plant Pork dropped 1.20 to 80.93. Ham value dropped 7.22 to 63.83 while belly value rose 3.25 to 128.40.
US$ -.2% 90.16
Dow -23 20937
SP -6 3850
NAS -10 13626
Tran -207 12643
VIX -.17 23.02
WTI -16 5261
Brent +3 5591
Gas +2 157
NG +5 266
HO unch 160
Eth -7 153
Gold -4 1851
Slvr +5 2554
2-yr -.004 0.123%
5-yr -.001 0.409%
10yr -.007 1.033%
30yr -.009 1.790%
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