Market Closes - July 12, 2022
Posted on Jul 12, 2022Corn Sep -43 594 (591-642); Dec -42 586 (582-634)
Bean Aug -54 1468 (1459-1533); Nov -62 1343 (1339-1418)
Meal Aug -8 425 (424-36); Dec -11 390
Oil Aug -361 6011 (5990-6414); Dec -339 5792
Wheat Sep -42 814 (810-69); Dec -42 830
KC Sep -47 868; MGE -45 919
Oats Sep -28 463
Rice -8 1645
LC Aug +52 13667; Oct +85 14127; Dec +70 14720
FC Aug +470 17957; Oct +357 18345; Jan +315 18567
LH Jly +45 11360; Oct +15 9260; Dec +2 8467
Milk Jly -7 2267; Aug -46 2124; Sep -43 2165
CBOT futures closed sharply lower and near the day’s lows despite a relatively neutral USDA WASDE Report released at Noon EDT. Futures were falling even before the WASDE due to bearish outside markets giving the “bears” the upper hand. The US$ Index continues to hit new 20-year highs. Energy futures sank sharply due to concerns of reduced world demand especially with new China Covid lockdowns. Despite today’s huge losses, futures remain above last week’s lowest prices. USDA won’t have field-sampled yield estimates until the August Crop Production Report. Slow export sales recently also weighed on futures.
Live cattle futures closed slightly higher but feeder cattle futures soared by over two percent thanks to the collapse in corn futures. Choice beef gained .37 to 268.51 and Select fell .83 to 242.17. Beef movement was very strong at 178 loads. Negotiated cash trade was not established. A few traded $145/cwt live and $230/cwt dressed.
Lean hog futures closed slightly higher, supported by stronger cash hog prices and pork cutouts. LH may have also been lifted by the strength in the cattle market. FOB Plant Pork rose 2.40 to 117.47. Ham value rose 6 to 105 and belly value rose 6 to 170. Pork movement was on the low side at 290.
US$ unch 108.16
Dow -190 30983
SP -36 3819
NAS -108 11265
Tran -74 13172
VIX +1.17 27.34
WTI -790 9331
Brent -761 9949
Gas -20 326
NG -26 616
HO -11 366
Gold -7 1725
Slvr -17 1896
2-yr -.019 3.051%
5-yr -.031 3.019%
10yr -.020 2.971%
30yr -.021 3.159%
Kentucky farmers expect to harvest 30.8 million bushels of winter wheat during 2022 according to the Kentucky Field Office of USDA's National Agricultural Statistics Service. The expected crop for 2022 would be up 1% from the previous year. The forecast was based on crop conditions as of July 1 and increased 7% from the June forecast. Growers expect a yield of 77.0 bushels per acre, down 10.0 bushels from 2021 and down 2.0 bushels from June. Farmers seeded 530,000 acres last fall with 400,000 acres to be harvested for grain. Acres for other uses totaled 130,000 acres and will be used as a cover crop for tobacco or cut as silage or hay.
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