Market Closes - May 3, 2021
Posted on May 3, 2021Corn Jly +6 679 (674-98); Dec -1 563 (559-78)
Bean Jly -10 1524 (1516-63); Nov +5 1345 (1332-64)
Meal Jly -11 415 (414-31); Dec -3 398
Oil Jly +67 6306; Dec +128 5331
Wheat Jly -17 718 (713-53); Dec -13 720
KC Jly -15 688; MGE -5 759
Oats +2 407
Rice +4 1374
LC Jun -127 11530; Aug -27 11835; Oct +5 12295
FC May -55 13305; Aug +5 14680; Oct -15 15115
LH May +57 11070; Jly +282 11207; Oct +135 9005
Milk May -22 1896; Jun -16 1970
CBOT futures closed widely mixed in very wide trading ranges as the highs were set soon after the opening bell Sunday evening. While the market held up well overnight, the sellers were loaded for bear as markets re-opened at 8:30 a.m. CDT. The markets closed far below the session highs. Despite the sell-off, the July corn contract was able to salvage a higher close thanks to strong weekly export shipments and the ongoing drought in Brazil’s safrinha corn. Today’s weakness resulted from profit-taking as the bulls expected to see today’s planting progress to be far ahead of last week and forecasts have increased rain chances for parts of the very dry Corn Belt. A sharp drop in soybean meal futures offset the gains in soybean oil, resulting in July Soybeans ending lower. Wheat futures were pressured by the downdraft in CBOT futures and the weekend rains in KS/OK/TX.
U.S Crop Progress
Corn is 46% planted vs 17% last week and 36% 5-yr avg.
KY@ 61% is 16 pts ahead of normal. IA soared to 69% planted from 20% a week ago; average is 45%. MN@ 60% vs 32% average.
Corn is 8% emerged vs 9% average.
Soybeans are 24% planted vs 8% last week and 11% 5-year avg.
KY@ 26% is 16 pts ahead of normal. LA is 23 pts behind @24% -- the only state behind normal. IL is 41% vs 14%; IA is 43% vs 14%; MI is 27% vs 4%.
Winter Wheat Condition:
48% good/excellent vs 49% week ago and 55% year ago.
19% poor/v.poor vs 19% week ago and 14% year ago.
Cattle futures closed mixed with the nearby June LC down the most, pressured by ideas the cash fed market will stay under pressure from plentiful supplies. The widening gap between cash fed prices and boxed beef values is going right into the packer margin. Choice beef rose 2.80 to 299.30 and Select edged .74 higher to 283.79. Beef movement was a slow 77 loads. Some light trade occurred at $117-118/cwt, a little weaker from last week.
Lean hog futures closed higher with huge gains in the J/J/A contracts which gapped higher on the open. New contract highs were made today even as cash hog prices weakened. China’s demand continues to drive prices higher. FOB Plant Pork gained 1.20 to 111.66, slightly weaker than the morning quote of 112.29. The pork load count was a very low 147.
US$ -.3% 90.97
Dow +238 34113
SP +11 4193
NAS -68 13895
Tran +272 15619
VIX -.41 18.20
WTI +91 6449
Brent +80 6756
Gas +3 210
NG +3 296
HO +3 195
Eth +6 229
Gold +25 1793
Slvr +114 2701
2-yr unch 0.162%
5-yr -.029 0.827%
10yr -.030 1.601%
30yr -.015 2.285%
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